Macroeconomics

Key Elements

  • Data
  • Models
    • Economic system is extremely complex.
    • There are approx. 300M decision makers in the US making economic decisions on a daily basis
    • Without simplification, economics is hopeless
    • Milton Friedman: map-analogy. An economic model is a picture of the economic system that leaves certain features out and highlights others, which are relevant for the question at hand.
    • Models are mathematically formulated, but experiments are difficult/impossible. Relies mostly on passive observations. (akin to astronomy and climatology)
    • A social science, deals with human behavior. akin to psychology.
  • Microfoundation
    • Lucas critique: if something is the economy changes, economic agents may change their behavior, so that we have to be explicit about what is stable/structural.
  • Dynamics and expectations
    • Agents are forward-looking, expectations matter.
    • Agents do not make systematic mistakes? — they sometimes do
  • Systemic interdependence

Concepts